The prediction of a sharp drop in house prices comes as no surprise in a sluggish market lacking buyer confidence. The suggestion by pundits of a price drop becomes a self fulfilling prophesy after a while as the more that people “in the know” talk about the drop, the more that buyers seek a bargain. Interestingly the Nationwide is trying to shed a more positive slant on the market with of course their having a vested interest in seeing the market very active. Ironic therefore that one of the reasons for the lack of sales and reduced confidence is due to mortgagees, including The Nationwide, tying a very firm knot in the lending purse strings.
A temporary aspirin?
Meanwhile, having picked myself up from the floor having digested Northern Rock’s decision to provide 90% mortgages I have to question whether those in charge are really in touch with reality. One imagines that the interest rates for such loans will be high, the arrangement fees reasonably punitive and the borrowers being asked to pay a hefty premium for a mortgage protection policy. The latter should in fact be called a “protect your lender policy” as it is the lender who benefits from the policy which is taken out at the borrower’s expense.
A dip in values by 8% will prevent property owners who have a 90% mortgage at the time they bought from selling as the associated costs in professional fees will amount to 2% so in essence putting more properties into negative equity. Add in possible early redemption penalties to the equation and this band of property owners will be in real difficulty.
The sense behind a 90% lending strategy has to be really questioned. Is this a case of temporary aspirin bringing longer term headaches?
Let us know what you think.
David Knapp, Partner
Residential Property
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